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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 55%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Worcestershire: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonny Bairstowcaught · Ben Dwarshuis · Tom Taylor1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Dwarshuis · b Tom Taylor | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Dawid Malancaught · Ethan Brookes · Ben Allison1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ethan Brookes · b Ben Allison | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Kashif Ali · Ben Allison6 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Kashif Ali · b Ben Allison | 81 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 172.34 |
| James Whartonrun out · Matthew Waite · Matthew Waite 12 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Matthew Waite |
| 47 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 187.23 |
 Will Sutherlandcaught · Kashif Ali · Ben Dwarshuis1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kashif Ali · b Ben Dwarshuis | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsonrun out · Ben Dwarshuis · Matthew Waite0 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Ben Dwarshuis | 23 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 287.50 |
|---|
 Matt Revisnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Allison0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 11.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 3 | 0 |
 Fateh Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Brett D'Oliveira0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 5 | 0 |
 Matthew Waite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Brookes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Jonny Bairstow, 0.4) · 2-42 (Dawid Malan, 4.2) · 3-176 (William Luxton, 16.0) · 4-208 (Will Sutherland, 18.2) · 5-224 (James Wharton, 19.3) · 6-233 (Jordan Thompson, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 18 | 67/2 |
| 7 | 13 | 80/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 86/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 94/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 103/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 110/2 |
| 12 | 17 | 127/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 142/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 152/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 159/2 |
| 16 | 17 | 176/3 |
| 17 | 15 | 191/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 202/3 |
| 19 | 10 | 212/4 |
| 20 | 21 | 233/6 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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