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Photo: Ranadipam Basu
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh Premier League · 2023/24 · Men
23 Jan 2024 · T20
Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photographRecorded result
Fortune Barishal started on 41%; Fortune Barishal batted first.
Fortune Barishal's chances ranged from 9% to 87% during the match (Comilla Victorians: 14% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tamim Iqbalcaught · Tanvir Islam · Roston Chase2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tanvir Islam · b Roston Chase | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 118.75 |
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Jaker Ali · Tanvir Islam0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jaker Ali · b Tanvir Islam | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Pritom Kumarcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Roston Chase 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Roston Chase | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
 Soumya Sarkarbowled · Mustafizur Rahman4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Mustafizur Rahman |
| 42 |
| 31 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 135.48 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mustafizur Rahman6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mustafizur Rahman | 62 | 44 | 6 | 2 | 140.91 |
|---|
 Shoaib Malikcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Khushdil Shah1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Khushdil Shah | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Mahmudullahcaught · Mustafizur Rahman · Matthew Forde1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mustafizur Rahman · b Matthew Forde | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Dunith Wellalagecaught · Jaker Ali · Matthew Forde 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jaker Ali · b Matthew Forde | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Abbas Afridicaught · Khushdil Shah · Mustafizur Rahman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khushdil Shah · b Mustafizur Rahman | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Mohammad Imrannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanvir Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Forde0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Aliss Islam0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Mustafizur Rahman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Khushdil Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Mehedi Hasan, 1.0) · 2-26 (Pritom Kumar, 3.3) · 3-43 (Tamim Iqbal, 5.4) · 4-109 (Soumya Sarkar, 13.1) · 5-120 (Shoaib Malik, 15.0) · 6-126 (Mahmudullah, 16.0) · 7-148 (Dunith Wellalage, 18.0) · 8-156 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 19.3) · 9-161 (Abbas Afridi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 49/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 57/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 66/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 81/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 91/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 97/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 109/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 112/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 120/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 126/6 |
| 17 | 13 | 139/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 148/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 153/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 161/9 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Khaled Ahmed: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudullah: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Tamim Iqbal: Cricfrenzy Tube · CC BY 3.0
Shoaib Malik: Pakistan Cricket Board on Youtube · CC BY 3.0
Soumya Sarkar: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Imrul Kayes: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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