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Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
2 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Wellington started on 60%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Auckland: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Plimmercaught · Maddy Green · Bella Armstrong 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maddy Green · b Bella Armstrong | 36 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 105.88 |
 Ellyse Perrycaught · Izzy Gaze · JO Penfold1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b JO Penfold | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 111.76 |
| Rebecca Burnscaught · Maddy Green · JO Penfold 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maddy Green · b JO Penfold | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · P Catton · Maddy Green 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Catton · b Maddy Green | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 64.71 |
 |
| caught · Izzy Gaze · b Molly Penfold |
| 19 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 105.56 |
| XA Jetlyrun out · Maddy Green, Lauren Down · Maddy Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Maddy Green, Lauren Down | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| HC Francisrun out · Izzy Gaze, Brooke Halliday · Maddy Green 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Izzy Gaze, Brooke Halliday | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
| Jess McFadyennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| INC McKenzienot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AT Hucker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Bree Illing0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Brooke Halliday0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Molly Penfold0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JO Penfold0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Bella Armstrong0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Maddy Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-45 (Ellyse Perry, 6.4) · 2-61 (Rebecca Burns, 10.4) · 3-64 (Georgia Plimmer, 12.0) · 4-83 (Jess Kerr, 15.4) · 5-96 (Maitlan Brown, 17.5) · 6-111 (XA Jetly, 19.4) · 7-112 (HC Francis, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 56/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 58/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 62/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 64/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 72/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 81/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 83/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 90/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 98/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 108/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 112/7 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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