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Belgium tour of Austria · 2025 · Men
24 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 11%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 2% to 83% during the match (Austria: 17% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walid Sahibzadacaught · Ziaurahman Shinwari · Bilal Zalmai 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ziaurahman Shinwari · b Bilal Zalmai | 32 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 91.43 |
| Muhammad Muneeblbw · Karanbir Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Karanbir Singh | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| B Niazcaught · Ranjit Singh · Aqib Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ranjit Singh · b Aqib Iqbal | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Shaheryar Buttlbw · Bilal Zalmai 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Bilal Zalmai | 29 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 87.88 |
| Saber Zakhillbw · Ziaurahman Shinwari 2 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Ziaurahman Shinwari | 40 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 190.48 |
| caught · Ziaurahman Shinwari · b SFS Cheema |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Oliver Herringtonrun out · Baseer Khan · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Baseer Khan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Rafiulah Alokozaicaught · SFS Cheema · Ziaurahman Shinwari 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · SFS Cheema · b Ziaurahman Shinwari | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Sajid Safirun out · MPS Cheema · Waqar Zalmai 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · MPS Cheema | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Iftikhar Kankhelnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Shafiullah Zakhelnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sahel Zadran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| SFS Cheema0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Ziaurahman Shinwari0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-4 (Muhammad Muneeb, 1.2) · 2-8 (B Niaz, 2.3) · 3-64 (Walid Sahibzada, 11.1) · 4-85 (Shaheryar Butt, 13.1) · 5-95 (S Jamil, 14.2) · 6-96 (Oliver Herrington, 15.1) · 7-114 (Rafiulah Alokozai, 16.3) · 8-125 (Sajid Safi, 18.0) · 9-127 (Saber Zakhil, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 21/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 28/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 61/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 64/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 72/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 85/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 93/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 96/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 107/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 116/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 125/8 |
| 19 | 8 | 133/9 |
| 20 | 11 | 144/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.