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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
31 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 72%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikramjit Singhcaught · Michael van Lingen · Ruben Trumpelmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael van Lingen · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Max O'Dowdcaught · Malan Kruger · Bernard Scholtz 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Malan Kruger · b Bernard Scholtz | 23 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 47.92 |
 Zach Lion-Cachetlbw · Ruben Trumpelmann0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Bas de Leedebowled · Jack Brassell0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Brassell | 27 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 46.55 |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Namibia: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 67* |
| 85 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 78.82 |
| Ryan Kleincaught · Zane Green · Jack Brassell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b Jack Brassell | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwecaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Jack Brassell2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Jack Brassell | 26 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 78.79 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleincaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · Bernard Scholtz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Bernard Scholtz | 11 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 37.93 |
|---|
 Tim Pringlecaught · Jan Frylinck · Ruben Trumpelmann0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Frylinck · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Aryan Duttcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b JJ Smit | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| A Roybowled · Gerhard Erasmus 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gerhard Erasmus | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 39 | 3 | 3.90 | 5 | 0 |
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 3.80 | 2 | 1 |
| Bernard Scholtz1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell1 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 41 | 3 | 4.10 | 3 | 2 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.53 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Vikramjit Singh, 0.5) · 2-1 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 1.0) · 3-55 (Max O'Dowd, 16.5) · 4-63 (Bas de Leede, 21.1) · 5-63 (Ryan Klein, 21.5) · 6-98 (Roelof van der Merwe, 29.4) · 7-133 (Kyle Klein, 38.3) · 8-143 (Tim Pringle, 42.5) · 9-151 (Aryan Dutt, 45.0) · 10-183 (A Roy, 48.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 2/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 4/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 11/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 14/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 14/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 16/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 21/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 22/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 24/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 29/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 59/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 60/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 61/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 63/3 |
| 22 | 0 | 63/5 |
| 23 | 0 | 63/5 |
| 24 | 7 | 70/5 |
| 25 | 6 | 76/5 |
| 26 | 3 | 79/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 80/5 |
| 28 | 10 | 90/5 |
| 29 | 3 | 93/5 |
| 30 | 5 | 98/6 |
| 31 | 3 | 101/6 |
| 32 | 8 | 109/6 |
| 33 | 5 | 114/6 |
| 34 | 2 | 116/6 |
| 35 | 3 | 119/6 |
| 36 | 4 | 123/6 |
| 37 | 3 | 126/6 |
| 38 | 5 | 131/6 |
| 39 | 2 | 133/7 |
| 40 | 6 | 139/7 |
| 41 | 1 | 140/7 |
| 42 | 0 | 140/7 |
| 43 | 3 | 143/8 |
| 44 | 3 | 146/8 |
| 45 | 5 | 151/9 |
| 46 | 3 | 154/9 |
| 47 | 14 | 168/9 |
| 48 | 11 | 179/9 |
| 49 | 4 | 183/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Pringle: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
