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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 54%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Essex: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardcaught · NRM Thain · Shane Snater 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NRM Thain · b Shane Snater | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Daniel Hughescaught · Shane Snater · Mohammad Amir 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shane Snater · b Mohammad Amir | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 180.00 |
| Tom Clarkcaught · CWJ Allison · Sam Cook 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b Sam Cook | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| James Colescaught and bowled · Simon Harmer 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Simon Harmer | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Shane Snater · Matthew Critchley1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shane Snater |
| 13 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 81.25 |
| John Simpsoncaught · NRM Thain · Shane Snater 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · NRM Thain · b Shane Snater | 52 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Danny Lambcaught · Sam Cook · Simon Harmer 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sam Cook · b Simon Harmer | 19 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 135.71 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · CWJ Allison · Sam Cook 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CWJ Allison · b Sam Cook | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsonbowled · Mohammad Amir0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Amir | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Tymal Millscaught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · Mohammad Amir0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Mohammad Amir | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Henry Crocombenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Cook0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| NRM Thain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Daniel Hughes, 3.5) · 2-38 (Harrison Ward, 4.4) · 3-44 (Tom Clark, 5.5) · 4-55 (James Coles, 7.3) · 5-94 (Tom Alsop, 11.1) · 6-136 (Danny Lamb, 15.5) · 7-138 (John Simpson, 16.3) · 8-145 (Ollie Robinson, 17.5) · 9-145 (Tymal Mills, 18.0) · 10-145 (Nathan McAndrew, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 45/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 53/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 56/4 |
| 9 | 14 | 70/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 11 | 18 | 94/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 101/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 109/5 |
| 14 | 16 | 125/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 131/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 136/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 140/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 145/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 145/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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