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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 48%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught and bowled · Tymal Mills 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tymal Mills | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Oli Carter · Danny Briggs 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Oli Carter · b Danny Briggs | 47 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 162.07 |
| CWJ Allisonbowled · Henry Crocombe 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Henry Crocombe | 20 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Harrison Ward · Sean Hunt 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Harrison Ward · b Sean Hunt | 26 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 136.84 |
 Matthew Critchleycaught · Daniel Hughes · Tymal Mills2 fours · 2 sixes | caught |
| 34 |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 188.89 |
| SML Fernandescaught · Harrison Ward · Jack Carson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harrison Ward · b Jack Carson | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Simon Harmernot out3 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 46* | 17 | 3 | 4 | 270.59 |
|---|
 Shane Snaternot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 3 | 1 | 1 | 333.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Hunt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 14.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-14 (Paul Walter, 2.0) · 2-68 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 7.5) · 3-99 (CWJ Allison, 12.0) · 4-112 (Luc Benkenstein, 13.3) · 5-117 (SML Fernandes, 14.3) · 6-163 (Matthew Critchley, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 62/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 69/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 79/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 94/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 110/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 115/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 119/5 |
| 16 | 12 | 131/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 141/5 |
| 18 | 15 | 156/5 |
| 19 | 17 | 173/6 |
| 20 | 31 | 204/6 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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