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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
3 Jul 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographSurrey started on 43%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 19% to 100% during the match (The Blaze: 0% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithlbw · M Andrews 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Andrews | 19 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 111.76 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kirstie Gordon · b Charli Knott | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
| Laura Harrislbw · Charli Knott 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Charli Knott | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
| Jemima Spencelbw · Charli Knott 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Charli Knott | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Alice Monaghancaught · Emma Jones · Charli Knott 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emma Jones · b Charli Knott | 35 | 27 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 129.63 |
| Phoebe Franklinbowled · Kirstie Gordon 8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kirstie Gordon | 46 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 153.33 |
|---|
| Kalea Moorecaught · Georgia Elwiss · Charli Knott 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Elwiss · b Charli Knott | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Alice Davidson-Richardsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaystumped · Sarah Bryce · Charli Knott 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sarah Bryce · b Charli Knott | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Priyanaz Chatterjirun out · Tammy Beaumont, Sarah Bryce · Charli Knott 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tammy Beaumont, Sarah Bryce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Charli Knott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| M Andrews0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Emma Jones0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Josie Groves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Paige Scholfield, 2.2) · 2-20 (Laura Harris, 3.0) · 3-43 (Bryony Smith, 6.2) · 4-45 (Jemima Spence, 7.1) · 5-127 (Alice Monaghan, 15.4) · 6-129 (Phoebe Franklin, 16.2) · 7-151 (Kalea Moore, 19.3) · 8-154 (Ryana MacDonald-Gay, 19.5) · 9-155 (Priyanaz Chatterji, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 20/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 45/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 49/4 |
| 9 | 20 | 69/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 77/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 95/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 104/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 110/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 121/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 127/5 |
| 17 | 9 | 136/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 142/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 150/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 155/9 |
Paige Scholfield: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.