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Photo: Dan Heap
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England tour of Ireland · 2025 · Men
21 Sept 2025 · T20
Malahide Cricket Ground, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Paul Stirlingcaught · Jos Buttler · Liam Dawson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jos Buttler · b Liam Dawson | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Ross Adaircaught · Jordan Cox · Rehan Ahmed 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Rehan Ahmed | 33 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 143.48 |
 Harry Tectorcaught · Adil Rashid · Liam Dawson2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Adil Rashid · b Liam Dawson | 28 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 103.70 |
| Lorcan Tuckercaught · Luke Wood · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wood · b Jamie Overton | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| caught · Tom Banton · b Jamie Overton |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Ben Calitzcaught · Jacob Bethell · Adil Rashid 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Adil Rashid | 22 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Gareth Delanynot out 4 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 48* | 29 | 4 | 3 | 165.52 |
|---|
| Barry McCarthylbw · Adil Rashid 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Adil Rashid | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Humphreyscaught · Jordan Cox · Adil Rashid 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Adil Rashid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Craig Youngnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Baker0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Dawson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Paul Stirling, 3.2) · 2-52 (Ross Adair, 6.3) · 3-56 (Lorcan Tucker, 8.3) · 4-58 (Curtis Campher, 9.0) · 5-90 (Harry Tector, 13.3) · 6-102 (Ben Calitz, 14.5) · 7-102 (Barry McCarthy, 15.0) · 8-141 (Matthew Humphreys, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 52/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 58/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 62/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 70/4 |
| 12 | 14 | 84/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 89/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 93/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 102/7 |
| 16 | 12 | 114/7 |
| 17 | 18 | 132/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 141/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 144/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 154/8 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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