Royal Challengers BengaluruversusSunrisers Hyderabad

25 Apr 2024 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 35 runs

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs206/7 Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs171/8 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 38%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 0% to 61%).

Biggest swings

3.5: T Natarajan to F du Plessis, F du Plessis out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 33% to 43%.
2nd inns 3.4: Yash Dayal to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 67% to 78%.
2nd inns 4.6: Swapnil Singh to H Klaasen, H Klaasen out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 81% to 93%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru206/7 Sunrisers Hyderabad171/8

Innings 1