Quetta GladiatorsversusPeshawar Zalmi

18 Feb 2024 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 16 runs

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs206/5 Peshawar Zalmi20.0 overs190/6 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 45%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 0% to 72%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 10.2: AJ Hosein to Mohammad Haris, Mohammad Haris out. Quetta Gladiators up from 29% to 43%.
2nd inns 15.4: Abrar Ahmed to T Kohler-Cadmore, T Kohler-Cadmore out. Quetta Gladiators up from 54% to 68%.
2nd inns 18.3: Mohammad Amir to R Powell, R Powell out. Quetta Gladiators up from 65% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators206/5 Peshawar Zalmi190/6

Innings 1