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Photo: Harrias
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
30 May 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Taunton · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 43%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Somerset: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dominic Sibleycaught · Craig Overton · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Matt Henry | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Lewis Goldsworthy · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis Goldsworthy · b Matt Henry | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 41.67 |
 Jason Roycaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Riley Meredith6 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Riley Meredith | 92 | 54 | 6 | 7 | 170.37 |
 Sam Curran |
| caught · Thomas Rew · b Ben Green |
| 22 |
| 23 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 95.65 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Craig Overton · Lewis Gregory 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Lewis Gregory | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Craig Overton · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Matt Henry | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Ollie Sykescaught · Tom Abell · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Abell · b Riley Meredith | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Chris Jordancaught · Craig Overton · Ben Green1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Ben Green | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Worrallbowled · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Riley Meredith | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Henry0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 2 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Dominic Sibley, 1.2) · 2-28 (Ollie Pope, 5.3) · 3-85 (Sam Curran, 12.1) · 4-107 (Laurie Evans, 14.3) · 5-119 (Tom Curran, 16.2) · 6-125 (Ollie Sykes, 17.3) · 7-144 (Chris Jordan, 19.0) · 8-144 (Jason Roy, 19.2) · 9-146 (Daniel Worrall, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 24/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 30/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 58/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 66/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 75/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 85/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 89/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 98/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 110/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 115/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 124/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 129/6 |
| 19 | 15 | 144/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 146/9 |
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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