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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
25 May 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 57%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Benny Howell · George Linde 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Benny Howell · b George Linde | 51 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 164.52 |
 Michael Jonescaught · Tom Moores · Mohammad Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Ali | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · JA Pocklington · Benny Howell 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · JA Pocklington · b Benny Howell | 57 | 40 | 4 | 4 | 142.50 |
| Ben McDermottnot out 6 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 63* | 27 | 6 | 4 | 233.33 |
| J Moorescaught · Benny Howell · Mohammad Ali 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Benny Howell |
| 13 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 118.18 |
 Chris Greennot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 6 | 2 | 0 | 216.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Linde0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 20.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Farhan Ahmed0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Pocklington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Michael Jones, 1.5) · 2-105 (Keaton Jennings, 12.1) · 3-117 (Matthew Hurst, 13.3) · 4-162 (J Moores, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 19 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 55/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 83/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 90/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 102/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 105/1 |
| 13 | 11 | 116/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 122/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 133/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 139/3 |
| 17 | 23 | 162/3 |
| 18 | 14 | 176/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 189/4 |
| 20 | 19 | 208/4 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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