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Canada tour of United States of America · 2024 · Men
9 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 53%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Taylorcaught · Navneet Dhaliwal · Parveen Kumar (2) 7 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Navneet Dhaliwal · b Parveen Kumar (2) | 54 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 216.00 |
| Monank Patelcaught · Pargat Singh · Saad Bin Zafar 10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Pargat Singh · b Saad Bin Zafar | 68 | 35 | 10 | 2 | 194.29 |
| Andries Gouscaught · Saad Bin Zafar · RR Joshi 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Saad Bin Zafar · b RR Joshi | 57 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 162.86 |
| Aaron Jonesnot out 0 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 34* | 20 | 0 | 4 | 170.00 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyknot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 5 | 1 | 1 | 260.00 |
| Extras |
| byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 |
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RR Joshi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Uday Bhagwan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Harsh Thaker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicholas Kirton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon Heyliger0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Parveen Kumar (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-104 (Steven Taylor, 8.3) · 2-136 (Monank Patel, 12.0) · 3-197 (Andries Gous, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 43/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 59/0 |
| 6 | 22 | 81/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 93/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 97/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 106/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 114/1 |
| 11 | 13 | 127/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 136/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 147/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 158/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 167/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 178/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 189/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 197/2 |
| 19 | 10 | 207/3 |
| 20 | 23 | 230/3 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.