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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
31 Dec 2025 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 50%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 49% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Colin Munrocaught · Jamie Overton · Liam Scott0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Liam Scott | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Jack Wildermuthcaught · Luke Wood · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wood · b Jamie Overton | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Lachlan Hearnecaught · Jamie Overton · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Luke Wood | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Matt Renshawrun out · Chris Lynn · Liam Scott1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chris Lynn | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| caught · Mackenzie Harvey · b Liam Scott |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
| Hugh Weibgencaught · Mackenzie Harvey · Jamie Overton 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Harvey · b Jamie Overton | 28 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 84.85 |
|---|
 James Peirsonbowled · Hasan Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Ali | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettcaught · Lloyd Pope · Jamie Overton 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Lloyd Pope · b Jamie Overton | 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 190.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemannnot out 1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 31* | 22 | 1 | 3 | 140.91 |
|---|
| Thomas Balkinbowled · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Ali | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Oliver Pattersoncaught · Harry Manenti · Matthew Short 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Manenti · b Matthew Short | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Scott0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 6 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Colin Munro, 1.5) · 2-11 (Lachlan Hearne, 2.3) · 3-17 (Jack Wildermuth, 4.2) · 4-20 (Matt Renshaw, 5.3) · 5-21 (Max Bryant, 6.0) · 6-47 (James Peirson, 10.2) · 7-67 (Xavier Bartlett, 12.1) · 8-103 (Hugh Weibgen, 16.4) · 9-105 (Thomas Balkin, 17.1) · 10-121 (Oliver Patterson, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 19/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 21/5 |
| 7 | 7 | 28/5 |
| 8 | 4 | 32/5 |
| 9 | 8 | 40/5 |
| 10 | 6 | 46/5 |
| 11 | 2 | 48/6 |
| 12 | 19 | 67/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 72/7 |
| 14 | 2 | 74/7 |
| 15 | 10 | 84/7 |
| 16 | 16 | 100/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 105/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 114/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 120/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 121/10 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Jason Sangha: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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