BahrainversusMalaysia

Malaysia more likely to win

Why

• On results in T20 internationals so far, Malaysia rate stronger than Bahrain (1,682 vs 1,606 on our results rating)
• Malaysia are playing at home in Malaysia
• In the last 9 T20 internationals between these sides, Bahrain won 5 and Malaysia won 4

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Bahrain started on 34%; Bahrain batted first.

Bahrain's chances ranged from 13% to 90% during the match (Malaysia: 10% to 88%).

Biggest swings

1. 2nd inns 15.3: Rizwan Butt to Azri Azhar, Azri Azhar out. Bahrain up from 55% to 90%.
2. 2nd inns 18.2: Asif Ali to S Vijay Unni, four by S Vijay Unni. Malaysia up from 57% to 88%.
3. 2nd inns 19.5: Shujaat Rasool to S Vijay Unni, S Vijay Unni out. Bahrain up from 49% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.