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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Sept 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 39%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 0% to 52% during the match (Lancashire: 48% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Liam Livingstone · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b Luke Wood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Jack Blatherwick · James Anderson3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b James Anderson | 19 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 146.15 |
 Zak Crawleycaught · Philip Salt · Jack Blatherwick4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Jack Blatherwick | 27 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Joe Denlycaught · Luke Wells · Tom Hartley4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b Tom Hartley |
| 28 |
| 20 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 140.00 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Luke Wells · Liam Livingstone0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wells · b Liam Livingstone | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Joey Evisoncaught · Luke Wood · Liam Livingstone0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Luke Wood · b Liam Livingstone | 27 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 112.50 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningbowled · Tom Aspinwall0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Aspinwall | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartbowled · Tom Aspinwall1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Tom Aspinwall | 25 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassencaught · Jack Blatherwick · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Luke Wood | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Matt Parkinsonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Nathan Gilchristcaught · Jack Blatherwick · Luke Wood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Luke Wood | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 James Anderson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Tawanda Muyeye, 0.1) · 2-33 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 4.0) · 3-65 (Zak Crawley, 6.4) · 4-71 (Sam Billings, 8.1) · 5-81 (Joe Denly, 10.0) · 6-115 (Joey Evison, 14.5) · 7-128 (Jack Leaning, 16.3) · 8-145 (Grant Stewart, 18.3) · 9-149 (Fred Klaassen, 19.1) · 10-153 (Nathan Gilchrist, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 44/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 54/2 |
| 7 | 16 | 70/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 74/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 81/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 85/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 89/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 94/5 |
| 14 | 13 | 107/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 116/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 126/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 134/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 144/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 149/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 153/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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