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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
7 Nov 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 25%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 26% during the match (Oman: 74% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmalbw · Muzahir Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muzahir Raza | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Hammad Mirza · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Shakeel Ahmed | 13 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 41.94 |
| Vriitya Aravindcaught · Wasim Ali · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wasim Ali · b Shakeel Ahmed | 11 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 35.48 |
| Vishnu Sukumarancaught · Hammad Mirza · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Rahul Chopralbw · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Samay Shrivastava | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aayan Afzal Khanbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ali Naseerstumped · Hammad Mirza · Jay Odedra 2 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Hammad Mirza · b Jay Odedra | 21 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 84.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharcaught and bowled · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jay Odedra | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Basil Hameedrun out · Aamir Kaleem, Hammad Mirza, Samay Shrivastava · Aamir Kaleem 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Aamir Kaleem, Hammad Mirza, Samay Shrivastava | 12 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 46.15 |
|---|
| Rahul Bhatiacaught · Wasim Ali · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wasim Ali · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 10 | 1 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muzahir Raza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 2.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed3 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 23 | 5 | 2.30 | 1 | 1 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Aryansh Sharma, 0.1) · 2-23 (Waseem Muhammad, 7.5) · 3-23 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 8.0) · 4-28 (Vriitya Aravind, 11.3) · 5-28 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 11.4) · 6-36 (Rahul Chopra, 15.2) · 7-41 (D Parashar, 16.2) · 8-53 (Ali Naseer, 19.0) · 9-54 (Rahul Bhatia, 22.0) · 10-78 (Basil Hameed, 25.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 23/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 23/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 27/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 27/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 28/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 29/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 33/5 |
| 14 | 1 | 34/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 36/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 38/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 41/7 |
| 18 | 12 | 53/7 |
| 19 | 0 | 53/8 |
| 20 | 0 | 53/8 |
| 21 | 0 | 53/8 |
| 22 | 1 | 54/9 |
| 23 | 10 | 64/9 |
| 24 | 7 | 71/9 |
| 25 | 6 | 77/9 |
| 26 | 1 | 78/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.