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West Indies Women tour of India · 2024/25 · Women
22 Dec 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 77%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (West Indies: 0% to 23%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Smriti Mandhanalbw · Zaida James13 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zaida James | 91 | 102 | 13 | 0 | 89.22 |
| Pratika Rawalcaught and bowled · Hayley Matthews 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Hayley Matthews | 40 | 69 | 4 | 0 | 57.97 |
| Harleen Deolbowled · Deandra Dottin 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Deandra Dottin | 44 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 88.00 |
 Harmanpreet Kaurrun out · Shemaine Campbelle, Afy Fletcher · Aaliyah Alleyne3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Shemaine Campbelle, Afy Fletcher | 34 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 147.83 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Shamilia Connell · b Hayley Matthews |
| 26 |
| 13 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
 Jemimah Rodriguesbowled · Zaida James3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Zaida James | 31 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 163.16 |
|---|
 Deepti Sharmanot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Saima Thakorlbw · Zaida James 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zaida James | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Titas Sadhucaught · Qiana Joseph · Zaida James 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Qiana Joseph · b Zaida James | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Renuka Singhcaught · Shabika Gajnabi · Zaida James0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shabika Gajnabi · b Zaida James | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Priya Mishranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 17 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 63 | 1 | 6.30 | 4 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 61 | 2 | 6.10 | 2 | 0 |
 Shamilia Connell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 6.20 | 1 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 6.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 6.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Zaida James0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 45 | 5 | 5.63 | 4 | 0 |
1-110 (Pratika Rawal, 23.2) · 2-160 (Smriti Mandhana, 32.0) · 3-226 (Harleen Deol, 40.4) · 4-237 (Harmanpreet Kaur, 41.5) · 5-264 (Richa Ghosh, 43.5) · 6-297 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 47.4) · 7-301 (Saima Thakor, 48.0) · 8-309 (Titas Sadhu, 49.1) · 9-309 (Renuka Singh, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 23/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 28/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 30/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 40/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 46/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 50/0 |
| 13 | 6 | 56/0 |
| 14 | 8 | 64/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 67/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 71/0 |
| 17 | 8 | 79/0 |
| 18 | 6 | 85/0 |
| 19 | 2 | 87/0 |
| 20 | 4 | 91/0 |
| 21 | 12 | 103/0 |
| 22 | 5 | 108/0 |
| 23 | 2 | 110/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 110/1 |
| 25 | 8 | 118/1 |
| 26 | 10 | 128/1 |
| 27 | 5 | 133/1 |
| 28 | 7 | 140/1 |
| 29 | 6 | 146/1 |
| 30 | 8 | 154/1 |
| 31 | 3 | 157/1 |
| 32 | 3 | 160/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 163/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 166/2 |
| 35 | 8 | 174/2 |
| 36 | 10 | 184/2 |
| 37 | 6 | 190/2 |
| 38 | 9 | 199/2 |
| 39 | 16 | 215/2 |
| 40 | 10 | 225/2 |
| 41 | 4 | 229/3 |
| 42 | 9 | 238/4 |
| 43 | 12 | 250/4 |
| 44 | 14 | 264/5 |
| 45 | 9 | 273/5 |
| 46 | 6 | 279/5 |
| 47 | 15 | 294/5 |
| 48 | 7 | 301/7 |
| 49 | 8 | 309/7 |
| 50 | 5 | 314/9 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamilia Connell: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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