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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
29 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 42%; Oman batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhbowled · Awais Ali Shah 13 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Awais Ali Shah | 88 | 107 | 13 | 0 | 82.24 |
| Jeet Shahcaught · Aryansh Sharma · Khuzaima Tanveer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aryansh Sharma · b Khuzaima Tanveer | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Hammad Mirzarun out · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Rohid 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Rahul Chopra | 6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Mujibur Alicaught · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Rohid 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Rohid | 10 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
| AR Bishtcaught · Aryansh Sharma · Awais Ali Shah 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aryansh Sharma · b Awais Ali Shah | 38 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 64.41 |
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Basil Hameed · b Awais Ali Shah |
| 11 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 122.22 |
| Zikria Islamcaught · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Shahdad 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Shahdad | 17 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 68.00 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Aryansh Sharma · Awais Ali Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aryansh Sharma · b Awais Ali Shah | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahcaught · Shoaib Khan (2) · Muhammad Shahdad 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shoaib Khan (2) · b Muhammad Shahdad | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Samay Shrivastavabowled · Awais Ali Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Awais Ali Shah | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Muhammed Imrannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 16 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khuzaima Tanveer0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 5.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Muhammad Rohid0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 4.50 | 9 | 0 |
| Muhammad Arfan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 2.57 | 2 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Awais Ali Shah1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 33 | 5 | 3.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Shahdad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.1 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 5.19 | 1 | 0 |
| Akshdeep Nath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Jeet Shah, 3.0) · 2-30 (Hammad Mirza, 8.4) · 3-57 (Mujibur Ali, 17.2) · 4-150 (AR Bisht, 34.4) · 5-166 (Vinayak Shukla, 36.4) · 6-180 (Jatinder Singh, 38.2) · 7-180 (Shakeel Ahmed, 38.5) · 8-191 (Hassnain Shah, 41.4) · 9-196 (Samay Shrivastava, 44.1) · 10-196 (Zikria Islam, 45.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 21/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 26/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 32/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 36/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 44/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 52/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 54/2 |
| 18 | 11 | 65/3 |
| 19 | 10 | 75/3 |
| 20 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 21 | 1 | 83/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 89/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 95/3 |
| 24 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 104/3 |
| 26 | 7 | 111/3 |
| 27 | 3 | 114/3 |
| 28 | 8 | 122/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 123/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 126/3 |
| 31 | 2 | 128/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 133/3 |
| 33 | 1 | 134/3 |
| 34 | 12 | 146/3 |
| 35 | 7 | 153/4 |
| 36 | 7 | 160/4 |
| 37 | 6 | 166/5 |
| 38 | 10 | 176/5 |
| 39 | 4 | 180/7 |
| 40 | 1 | 181/7 |
| 41 | 4 | 185/7 |
| 42 | 6 | 191/8 |
| 43 | 1 | 192/8 |
| 44 | 4 | 196/8 |
| 45 | 0 | 196/9 |
| 46 | 0 | 196/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.