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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
29 May 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 61%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 28% to 98% during the match (Worcestershire: 2% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellscaught · Adam Hose · Ethan Brookes 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Adam Hose · b Ethan Brookes | 35 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 159.09 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Ethan Brookes · Tom Hinley 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ethan Brookes · b Tom Hinley | 66 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 173.68 |
| Matthew Hurstrun out · Gareth Roderick, Ben Dwarshuis · Fateh Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gareth Roderick, Ben Dwarshuis | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Fateh Singh · Ben Dwarshuis3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fateh Singh · b Ben Dwarshuis | 31 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 129.17 |
 |
| not out |
| 26* |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 144.44 |
 Chris Greencaught and bowled · Fateh Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Fateh Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickcaught · Kashif Ali · Fateh Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kashif Ali · b Fateh Singh | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Josh Bohannoncaught · Tom Hinley · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Hinley · b Jacob Duffy | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Luke Woodrun out · Gareth Roderick · Ben Dwarshuis1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Gareth Roderick | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Finch0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Hinley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ethan Brookes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Fateh Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett D'Oliveira0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-79 (Luke Wells, 7.4) · 2-85 (Matthew Hurst, 8.5) · 3-112 (Keaton Jennings, 12.0) · 4-154 (Ashton Turner, 17.0) · 5-155 (Chris Green, 17.2) · 6-157 (Jack Blatherwick, 17.4) · 7-162 (Josh Bohannon, 18.5) · 8-176 (Luke Wood, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 44/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 54/0 |
| 6 | 17 | 71/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 77/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 80/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 86/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 92/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 98/2 |
| 12 | 14 | 112/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 121/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 130/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 142/3 |
| 17 | 12 | 154/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 158/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 163/7 |
| 20 | 13 | 176/8 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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