OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Myself
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
28 Jan 2025 · T20
Saurashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Rajkot · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
England started on 13%; England batted first.
England's chances ranged from 8% to 100% during the match (India: 0% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltcaught · Abhishek Sharma · Hardik Pandya1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abhishek Sharma · b Hardik Pandya | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Abhishek Sharma · Axar Patel7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Abhishek Sharma · b Axar Patel | 51 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 182.14 |
 Jos Buttlercaught · Sanju Samson · Varun Chakravarthy1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sanju Samson · b Varun Chakravarthy | 24 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 109.09 |
 Harry Brook |
| bowled · b Ravi Bishnoi |
| 8 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Dhruv Jurel · Hardik Pandya 1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Hardik Pandya | 43 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 179.17 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Dhruv Jurel · Varun Chakravarthy0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Varun Chakravarthy | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Jamie Overtonbowled · Varun Chakravarthy0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Varun Chakravarthy | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsecaught · Tilak Varma · Varun Chakravarthy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tilak Varma · b Varun Chakravarthy | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Jofra Archerbowled · Varun Chakravarthy0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Varun Chakravarthy | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Adil Rashidnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Mark Woodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Shami0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 1 |
 Hardik Pandya0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Varun Chakravarthy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ravi Bishnoi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Axar Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Abhishek Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Philip Salt, 1.3) · 2-83 (Jos Buttler, 9.0) · 3-87 (Ben Duckett, 10.0) · 4-108 (Harry Brook, 12.4) · 5-115 (Jamie Smith, 13.3) · 6-115 (Jamie Overton, 13.4) · 7-127 (Brydon Carse, 15.4) · 8-127 (Jofra Archer, 16.0) · 9-147 (Liam Livingstone, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 91/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 101/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 108/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 116/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 123/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 127/8 |
| 17 | 19 | 146/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 151/9 |
| 19 | 11 | 162/9 |
| 20 | 9 | 171/9 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Wood: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Mohammed Shami: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Archer_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}