Los Angeles Knight RidersversusWashington Freedom

18 Jul 2026 · T20

Oakland Coliseum, Oakland · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 1 runs

Los Angeles Knight Riders19.4 overs164/10 Washington Freedom20.0 overs163/9 Oakland Coliseum, Oakland ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Los Angeles Knight Riders started on 37%; Los Angeles Knight Riders batted first.

Los Angeles Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Washington Freedom is the rest

Los Angeles Knight Riders's chances ranged from 24% to 91% during the match (Washington Freedom: 9% to 76%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 19.1: SC van Schalkwyk to AJ Pienaar, six by AJ Pienaar. Washington Freedom up from 31% to 69%.
2nd inns 19.4: SC van Schalkwyk to LH Ferguson, four by LH Ferguson. Washington Freedom up from 25% to 55%.
2nd inns 19.6: SC van Schalkwyk to BKEL Milantha, BKEL Milantha out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 49% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Los Angeles Knight Riders164/10 Washington Freedom163/9

Innings 1