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Namibia Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2024 · Women
7 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 42%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 25% to 86% during the match (Zimbabwe: 14% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · K Chigora · B Biza 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · K Chigora · b B Biza | 34 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 89.47 |
| Theertha Satishcaught · Modester Mupachikwa · L Mabhero 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b L Mabhero | 30 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Rinitha Rajithbowled · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Chigora | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · Modester Mupachikwa · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b K Chigora | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kavisha Egodagecaught · Modester Mupachikwa · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b Josephine Nkomo | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 50.00 |
| S Dharnidharkalbw · B Biza 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b B Biza | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Keziah Miriam Sabinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| Lavanya Kenybowled · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Chigora | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshhit wicket · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | hit wicket · b K Chigora | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| I Nandakumarcaught · Kelis Ndhlovu · B Biza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kelis Ndhlovu · b B Biza | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Archara Supriyacaught · Chipo Mugeri · K Chigora 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chipo Mugeri · b K Chigora | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 7 | 0 |
| C Mutasa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| L Mabhero0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Chigora1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Tawananyasha Marumani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-42 (Theertha Satish, 5.3) · 2-43 (Rinitha Rajith, 6.1) · 3-43 (Heena Hotchandani, 6.5) · 4-79 (Esha Oza, 11.3) · 5-83 (Kavisha Egodage, 12.4) · 6-83 (S Dharnidharka, 13.1) · 7-89 (Lavanya Keny, 14.5) · 8-89 (Vaishnave Mahesh, 15.0) · 9-92 (I Nandakumar, 16.0) · 10-93 (Archara Supriya, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 18 | 61/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 73/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 78/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 81/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 83/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 86/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 89/8 |
| 16 | 3 | 92/9 |
| 17 | 1 | 93/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.