Sharjah WarriorsversusMI Emirates

2 Feb 2024 · T20

Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

MI Emirates won by 8 wickets

Sharjah Warriors20.0 overs129/10 MI Emirates11.1 overs133/2 Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sharjah Warriors started on 41%; Sharjah Warriors batted first.

Sharjah Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · MI Emirates is the rest

Sharjah Warriors's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (MI Emirates: 46% to 100%).

Biggest swings

4.4: TA Boult to N Dickwella, N Dickwella out. MI Emirates up from 47% to 57%.
7.4: AJ Hosein to J Charles, J Charles out. MI Emirates up from 56% to 65%.
7.5: AJ Hosein to Basil Hameed, Basil Hameed out. MI Emirates up from 65% to 74%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sharjah Warriors129/10 MI Emirates133/2

Innings 1