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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Uganda) · 2024/25 · Women
16 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Uganda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 36%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (Uganda: 62% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmanncaught · Janet Mbabazi · Irene Mutonyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Janet Mbabazi · b Irene Mutonyi | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Kayleen Greencaught · Rita Musamali · Concy Aweko 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rita Musamali · b Concy Aweko | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Yasmeen Khancaught · Immaculate Nakisuuyi · Janet Mbabazi 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Immaculate Nakisuuyi · b Janet Mbabazi | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Wilka Mwatilebowled · Janet Mbabazi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Janet Mbabazi | 22 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 41.51 |
| E Van Zylrun out · Kevin Awino, S Akiteng · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kevin Awino, S Akiteng | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Arrasta Diergaardtrun out · Rita Musamali, Kevin Awino · S Walaza 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Rita Musamali, Kevin Awino |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| M Gorasesbowled · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| M Mwatilecaught · Immaculate Nakisuuyi · Janet Mbabazi 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Immaculate Nakisuuyi · b Janet Mbabazi | 23 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 82.14 |
|---|
| Sylvia Shihepostumped · Kevin Awino · Janet Mbabazi 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kevin Awino · b Janet Mbabazi | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| S Tuhadeleninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Mutonyi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Concy Aweko1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Walaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 6.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Akiteng0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
1-2 (Sune Wittmann, 0.4) · 2-11 (Kayleen Green, 3.3) · 3-24 (Yasmeen Khan, 6.0) · 4-27 (E Van Zyl, 7.5) · 5-27 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 8.2) · 6-28 (M Gorases, 9.1) · 7-64 (M Mwatile, 17.0) · 8-69 (Sylvia Shihepo, 19.3) · 9-71 (Wilka Mwatile, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 17/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 24/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 27/4 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/5 |
| 10 | 1 | 29/6 |
| 11 | 3 | 32/6 |
| 12 | 6 | 38/6 |
| 13 | 6 | 44/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 46/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 53/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 56/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 64/7 |
| 18 | 0 | 64/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 67/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 71/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.