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Thailand Women tour of Papua New Guinea · 2026 · Women
15 Aug 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 48%; Thailand batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phannita Mayacaught · HJ Thomas · Isabel Toua 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HJ Thomas · b Isabel Toua | 25 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 48.08 |
 Natthakan Chantamcaught · Sibona Jimmy · Pauke Siaka0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sibona Jimmy · b Pauke Siaka | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 38.10 |
 Nannapat Koncharoenkaicaught and bowled · Sibona Jimmy3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sibona Jimmy | 35 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 85.37 |
 Naruemol Chaiwaicaught · Tanya Ruma · Pauke Siaka4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanya Ruma |
Thailand's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 61 |
| 74 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 82.43 |
| Aphisara Suwanchonrathicaught · Pauke Siaka · D Lohia 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pauke Siaka · b D Lohia | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Chanida Sutthiruangcaught · H Doriga · Sibona Jimmy4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Doriga · b Sibona Jimmy | 28 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| N Chaihancaught · Sibona Jimmy · HJ Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sibona Jimmy · b HJ Thomas | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Suleeporn Laomicaught · Tanya Ruma · Sibona Jimmy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanya Ruma · b Sibona Jimmy | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| S Chaturongrattanacaught · Brenda Tau · Pauke Siaka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brenda Tau · b Pauke Siaka | 21 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 47.73 |
|---|
 Onnicha Kamchomphucaught · Tanya Ruma · Pauke Siaka0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanya Ruma · b Pauke Siaka | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| T Putthawongnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Buruka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 3.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Pauke Siaka3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.3 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 1.89 | 0 | 0 |
| HJ Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Isabel Toua0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 5.43 | 0 | 2 |
| Sibona Jimmy0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 3.11 | 3 | 1 |
| D Lohia0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 1 |
1-24 (Natthakan Chantam, 9.2) · 2-45 (Phannita Maya, 15.5) · 3-76 (Nannapat Koncharoenkai, 20.4) · 4-81 (Aphisara Suwanchonrathi, 21.3) · 5-135 (Chanida Sutthiruang, 31.3) · 6-136 (N Chaihan, 32.3) · 7-139 (Suleeporn Laomi, 33.5) · 8-184 (Naruemol Chaiwai, 43.4) · 9-188 (Onnicha Kamchomphu, 45.5) · 10-191 (S Chaturongrattana, 47.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 20/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 29/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 31/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 44/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 47/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 55/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 20 | 11 | 73/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 76/3 |
| 22 | 9 | 85/4 |
| 23 | 2 | 87/4 |
| 24 | 8 | 95/4 |
| 25 | 9 | 104/4 |
| 26 | 3 | 107/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 110/4 |
| 28 | 0 | 110/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 114/4 |
| 30 | 11 | 125/4 |
| 31 | 9 | 134/4 |
| 32 | 1 | 135/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 137/6 |
| 34 | 2 | 139/7 |
| 35 | 2 | 141/7 |
| 36 | 2 | 143/7 |
| 37 | 6 | 149/7 |
| 38 | 1 | 150/7 |
| 39 | 9 | 159/7 |
| 40 | 4 | 163/7 |
| 41 | 5 | 168/7 |
| 42 | 5 | 173/7 |
| 43 | 10 | 183/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 186/8 |
| 45 | 2 | 188/8 |
| 46 | 0 | 188/9 |
| 47 | 3 | 191/9 |
| 48 | 0 | 191/10 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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