Texas Super KingsversusMI New York

13 Jun 2025 · T20

Oakland Coliseum, Oakland · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Texas Super Kings won by 3 runs

Texas Super Kings20.0 overs185/6 MI New York20.0 overs182/8 Oakland Coliseum, Oakland ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Texas Super Kings started on 50%; Texas Super Kings batted first.

Texas Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · MI New York is the rest

Texas Super Kings's chances ranged from 16% to 95% during the match (MI New York: 6% to 85%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.5: Mohammad Mohsin to Sunny Patel, Sunny Patel out. Texas Super Kings up from 49% to 69%.
2nd inns 18.3: AF Milne to Tajinder Singh, TA Boult out. Texas Super Kings up from 48% to 69%.
2nd inns 19.6: DJ Mitchell to Tajinder Singh, 1 run to Tajinder Singh. Texas Super Kings up from 77% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Texas Super Kings185/6 MI New York182/8

Innings 1