OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Spain tour of Croatia · 2024 · Men
2 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Spain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Croatia started on 20%; Croatia batted first.
Croatia's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Spain: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Danikulacaught · LA Burns · Yasir Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LA Burns · b Yasir Ali | 17 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 65.38 |
| Rashid Hashmicaught · Christian Munoz-Mills · Hamza Dar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Christian Munoz-Mills · b Hamza Dar | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.14 |
| Saghar Manzoorcaught · Mohammad Atif · Yasir Ali 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Atif · b Yasir Ali | 38 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 158.33 |
| V Rathinasamybowled · Yasir Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yasir Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| S Houghtoncaught · Mohammad Ihsan · LA Burns 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Ihsan · b LA Burns | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| caught · Mohammad Ihsan · b Yasir Ali |
| 9 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 75.00 |
| A Maheshwaricaught · LA Burns · Yasir Ali 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · LA Burns · b Yasir Ali | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| A Chaubeycaught · D Doyle-Calle · Yasir Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Doyle-Calle · b Yasir Ali | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| A Sathyanrun out · A Davidson Soler · Mohammad Atif 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Davidson Soler | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
| A Magdalenicnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| V Pulibantinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 16 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atif Mehmood0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Mohammad Atif0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Hamza Dar0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 7 | 0 |
| LA Burns0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| C Rumistrzewicz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasir Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Shafat Ali Syed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Rashid Hashmi, 3.3) · 2-70 (J Danikula, 9.3) · 3-70 (V Rathinasamy, 9.4) · 4-73 (S Houghton, 10.5) · 5-78 (Saghar Manzoor, 11.5) · 6-104 (A Maheshwari, 13.5) · 7-106 (A Chaubey, 15.2) · 8-107 (Arpit Shukla, 16.0) · 9-121 (A Sathyan, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 17 | 55/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 66/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 71/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 79/5 |
| 13 | 9 | 88/5 |
| 14 | 16 | 104/6 |
| 15 | 2 | 106/6 |
| 16 | 1 | 107/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 111/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 116/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 121/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 125/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.