San Francisco UnicornsversusLos Angeles Knight Riders

14 Jun 2025 · T20

Oakland Coliseum, Oakland · Venue photograph

Recorded result

San Francisco Unicorns won by 32 runs

San Francisco Unicorns20.0 overs219/8 Los Angeles Knight Riders19.5 overs187/10 Oakland Coliseum, Oakland ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

San Francisco Unicorns started on 57%; San Francisco Unicorns batted first.

San Francisco Unicorns’s chance of winning (%) · Los Angeles Knight Riders is the rest

San Francisco Unicorns's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Los Angeles Knight Riders: 0% to 55%).

Biggest swings

1.2: SC van Schalkwyk to TL Seifert, TL Seifert out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 43% to 54%.
1.5: SC van Schalkwyk to FH Allen, six by FH Allen. San Francisco Unicorns up from 45% to 51%.
2nd inns 7.3: Hassan Khan to NR Kumar, NR Kumar out. San Francisco Unicorns up from 87% to 93%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

San Francisco Unicorns219/8 Los Angeles Knight Riders187/10

Innings 1