**St George's Park, Gqeberha**
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

SA20 · 2023/24 · Men

Durban's Super GiantsversusSunrisers Eastern Cape

13 Jan 2024 · T20

St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Durban's Super Giants won by 35 runs

Durban's Super Giants20.0 overs225/3 Sunrisers Eastern Cape20.0 overs190/9 St George's Park, Gqeberha ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Durban's Super Giants started on 44%; Durban's Super Giants batted first.

Durban's Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Eastern Cape is the rest

Durban's Super Giants's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 0% to 59%).

Biggest swings

5.3: M Jansen to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 27% to 35%.
9.2: DJ Worrall to MP Breetzke, MP Breetzke out. Sunrisers Eastern Cape up from 30% to 36%.
11.6: OEG Baartman to N Pooran, six by N Pooran. Durban's Super Giants up from 63% to 69%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Durban's Super Giants225/3 Sunrisers Eastern Cape190/9

Innings 1