Sunrisers HyderabadversusKolkata Knight Riders

3 May 2026 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 7 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad19.0 overs165/10 Kolkata Knight Riders18.2 overs169/3 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 56%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 85% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 15% to 100%).

Biggest swings

3.4: Kartik Tyagi to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 23% to 32%.
15.1: SP Narine to S Arora, S Arora out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 46% to 55%.
17.1: VG Arora to Shivang Kumar, Shivang Kumar out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 62% to 71%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad165/10 Kolkata Knight Riders169/3

Innings 1