**Manuka Oval, Canberra**
Photo: Voyager (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

Women's Ashes · 2024/25 · Women

AustraliaversusEngland

23 Jan 2025 · T20

Manuka Oval, Canberra · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Australia won by 6 runs

Australia20.0 overs185/5 England19.1 overs168/4 Manuka Oval, Canberra ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Australia more likely to win

59%Australia41%England

Why

Australia are playing at home in Australia
In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, Australia won 6 and England won 4
On results in T20 internationals so far, England rate stronger than Australia (1,767 vs 1,763 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

Australia185/5 England168/4

Innings 1

Australia

185/520.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Australia batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Beth Mooneystumped · Amy Jones · Sophie Ecclestone 7 fours · 0 sixes	stumped · Amy Jones · b Sophie Ecclestone	44	31	7	0	141.94
Georgia Vollrun out · Maia Bouchier, Amy Jones · Lauren Bell 1 fours · 0 sixes	run out · Maia Bouchier, Amy Jones	5	5	1	0	100.00
Phoebe Litchfieldbowled · Charlie Dean 3 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Charlie Dean	17	15	3	0	113.33
Ellyse Perrycaught · Maia Bouchier · Charlie Dean0 fours · 0 sixes

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD	NB
Freya Kemp0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	21	1	7.00	7	0
Lauren Bell0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls	3.0	38	0	12.67	1	1
Charlie Dean0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	28	2	7.00	0	0
Nat Sciver-Brunt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	23	0	11.50	1	0
Sophie Ecclestone0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	33	1	8.25	1	0
Sarah Glenn0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	39	0	9.75	2	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	4	4/0
2	14	18/0
3	10	28/0
4	8	36/0
5	11	47/1
6	7	54/1
7	8	62/1
8	5	67/2
9	7	74/2
10	4	78/4
11	5	83/4
12	6	89/4
13	15	104/4
14	10	114/4
15	8	122/5
16	10	132/5
17	5	137/5
18	17	154/5
19	18	172/5
20	13	185/5

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AustraliaversusEngland

Australia won by 6 runs

Win chances before this match

Why

Australia

Fall of wickets