Cayman IslandsversusMexico

Cayman Islands more likely to win

Why

• On results in T20 internationals so far, Cayman Islands rate stronger than Mexico (1,499 vs 1,332 on our results rating)
• In the last 2 T20 internationals between these sides, Cayman Islands won 2 and Mexico won 0
• Cayman Islands are playing at home in the Cayman Islands

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Cayman Islands started on 82%; Cayman Islands batted first.

Cayman Islands's chances ranged from 82% to 100% during the match (Mexico: 0% to 18%).

Biggest swings

1. 1.2: Bhargav Narasimha to YSD Seneveratne, four by YSD Seneveratne. Cayman Islands up from 83% to 85%.
2. 2.4: Pratik Singh Bais to YSD Seneveratne, six by YSD Seneveratne. Cayman Islands up from 84% to 87%.
3. 4.4: S Sharma to YSD Seneveratne, four by YSD Seneveratne. Cayman Islands up from 90% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.