Kolkata Knight RidersversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

22 Mar 2025 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 7 wickets

Kolkata Knight Riders20.0 overs174/8 Royal Challengers Bengaluru16.2 overs177/3 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 56%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 85% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 15% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: JR Hazlewood to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 42% to 56%.
14.6: KH Pandya to RK Singh, RK Singh out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 25% to 30%.
15.4: Suyash Sharma to AD Russell, AD Russell out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 29% to 35%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders174/8 Royal Challengers Bengaluru177/3

Innings 1