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Photo: Harrias
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Taunton · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 70%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Glamorgan: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantonbowled · Timm van der Gugten 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Timm van der Gugten | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Will Smeedbowled · Daniel Douthwaite 9 fours · 5 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Douthwaite | 86 | 48 | 9 | 5 | 179.17 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Andy Gorvin1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Andy Gorvin | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
 Tom Abellbowled · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Douthwaite | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 |
| caught · Jamie McIlroy · b Daniel Douthwaite |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
 Lewis Gregorycaught · Mason Crane · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mason Crane · b Daniel Douthwaite | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught and bowled · Mason Crane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Mason Crane | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Craig Overtonrun out · Chris Cooke · Jamie McIlroy4 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Chris Cooke | 42 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwenot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 15 | 3 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Riley Meredithnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 1 | 0 | 1 | 600.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jamie McIlroy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Timm van der Gugten0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Tom Banton, 3.5) · 2-92 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 9.4) · 3-108 (Tom Abell, 11.2) · 4-112 (Sean Dickson, 11.4) · 5-114 (Lewis Gregory, 12.0) · 6-115 (Ben Green, 12.2) · 7-123 (Will Smeed, 13.5) · 8-182 (Craig Overton, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 83/1 |
| 10 | 11 | 94/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 107/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 114/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 117/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 123/7 |
| 15 | 7 | 130/7 |
| 16 | 13 | 143/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 148/7 |
| 18 | 14 | 162/7 |
| 19 | 13 | 175/7 |
| 20 | 18 | 193/8 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Northeast: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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