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Photo: Sankarshan Mukhopadhyay from Pune, India
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Women's World Cup · 2025/26 · Women
30 Oct 2025 · ODI
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Navi Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Australia started on 74%; Australia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alyssa Healybowled · Kranti Goud0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kranti Goud | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Phoebe Litchfieldbowled · Amanjot Kaur17 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Amanjot Kaur | 119 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 127.96 |
 Ellyse Perrybowled · Radha Yadav6 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Radha Yadav | 77 | 88 | 6 | 2 | 87.50 |
 Beth Mooneycaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Shree Charani3 fours · 0 sixes |
Australia's chances ranged from 1% to 96% during the match (India: 4% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Shree Charani |
| 24 |
| 22 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 109.09 |
 Annabel Sutherlandcaught and bowled · Shree Charani0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Shree Charani | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Ashleigh Gardnerrun out · Richa Ghosh, Kranti Goud · Radha Yadav4 fours · 4 sixes | run out · Richa Ghosh, Kranti Goud | 63 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Tahlia McGrathrun out · Jemimah Rodrigues, Richa Ghosh · Amanjot Kaur2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jemimah Rodrigues, Richa Ghosh | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Kim Garthrun out · Richa Ghosh, Amanjot Kaur · Deepti Sharma0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Richa Ghosh, Amanjot Kaur | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Alana Kingcaught · Richa Ghosh · Deepti Sharma1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Deepti Sharma | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Sophie Molineuxbowled · Deepti Sharma0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Deepti Sharma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Megan Schuttnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Renuka Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 4.88 | 3 | 0 |
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 9.67 | 6 | 0 |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 4.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.5 | 0 | 73 | 2 | 7.42 | 2 | 0 |
| Amanjot Kaur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | 6.38 | 0 | 0 |
 Radha Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 66 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Alyssa Healy, 5.1) · 2-180 (Phoebe Litchfield, 27.2) · 3-220 (Beth Mooney, 34.0) · 4-228 (Annabel Sutherland, 35.5) · 5-243 (Ellyse Perry, 39.2) · 6-265 (Tahlia McGrath, 41.4) · 7-331 (Ashleigh Gardner, 48.3) · 8-336 (Alana King, 49.2) · 9-336 (Sophie Molineux, 49.3) · 10-338 (Kim Garth, 49.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 25/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 34/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 41/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 56/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 60/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 72/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 79/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 80/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 82/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 89/1 |
| 15 | 10 | 99/1 |
| 16 | 8 | 107/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 113/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 115/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 121/1 |
| 20 | 14 | 135/1 |
| 21 | 9 | 144/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 149/1 |
| 23 | 3 | 152/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 157/1 |
| 25 | 2 | 159/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 162/1 |
| 27 | 16 | 178/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 181/2 |
| 29 | 7 | 188/2 |
| 30 | 5 | 193/2 |
| 31 | 3 | 196/2 |
| 32 | 11 | 207/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 215/2 |
| 34 | 5 | 220/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 225/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 228/4 |
| 37 | 5 | 233/4 |
| 38 | 1 | 234/4 |
| 39 | 9 | 243/4 |
| 40 | 10 | 253/5 |
| 41 | 7 | 260/5 |
| 42 | 11 | 271/6 |
| 43 | 4 | 275/6 |
| 44 | 4 | 279/6 |
| 45 | 13 | 292/6 |
| 46 | 8 | 300/6 |
| 47 | 11 | 311/6 |
| 48 | 8 | 319/6 |
| 49 | 16 | 335/7 |
| 50 | 3 | 338/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Renuka Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Sophie Molineux: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Radha Yadav: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Phoebe Litchfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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