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Netherlands tour of Oman · 2024/25 · Men
16 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 47%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Max O'Dowdlbw · Muzahir Raza 7 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Muzahir Raza | 66 | 55 | 7 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Teja Nidamanurubowled · Sufyan Mehmood 2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Sufyan Mehmood | 36 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 150.00 |
| Scott Edwardslbw · Jay Odedra 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jay Odedra | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Sandeep Goud · Mohammad Nadeem0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sandeep Goud · b Mohammad Nadeem | 1 | 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
 Bas de Leedebowled · Aamir Kaleem0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Noah Croesbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Kleinbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Roelof van der Merwenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Paul van Meekerenrun out · Sandeep Goud · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sandeep Goud | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muzahir Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Nadeem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Michael Levitt, 1.4) · 2-62 (Teja Nidamanuru, 8.5) · 3-85 (Scott Edwards, 11.5) · 4-90 (Colin Ackermann, 13.0) · 5-105 (Bas de Leede, 15.3) · 6-136 (Max O'Dowd, 18.3) · 7-143 (Kyle Klein, 19.3) · 8-144 (Noah Croes, 19.5) · 9-147 (Paul van Meekeren, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 32/1 |
| 7 | 14 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 49/1 |
| 9 | 14 | 63/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 72/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 85/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 94/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 103/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 108/5 |
| 17 | 18 | 126/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 132/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 141/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 147/9 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
