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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jun 2025 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 36%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 9% to 100% during the match (Northamptonshire: 0% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Sanderson | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Justin Broad | 29 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 131.82 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Luke Procter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b George Scrimshaw |
| 7 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b David Willey | 27 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 108.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Justin Broad | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 212.50 |
|---|
| James Neeshamnot out 3 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 50* | 34 | 3 | 3 | 147.06 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · George Scrimshaw · Ben Sanderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Scrimshaw · b Ben Sanderson | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Willey · b Luke Procter | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowternot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 4 | 2 | |
| Justin Broad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (Graham Clark, 4.0) · 2-27 (Ollie Robinson, 4.3) · 3-45 (Colin Ackermann, 6.3) · 4-59 (Alex Lees, 7.5) · 5-77 (Ben Raine, 9.2) · 6-113 (Will Rhodes, 15.5) · 7-135 (Zakary Foulkes, 18.1) · 8-144 (Matthew Potts, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 12 | 55/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 9 | 15 | 75/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 77/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 82/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 93/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 102/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 109/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 113/6 |
| 17 | 11 | 124/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 135/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 144/7 |
| 20 | 13 | 157/8 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.