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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier B · 2026/27 · Men
11 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Maldives started on 15%; Maldives batted first.
Maldives's chances ranged from 0% to 30% during the match (Malaysia: 70% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azyan Farhathstumped · Nazmus Sakib · Pavandeep Singh 2 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Nazmus Sakib · b Pavandeep Singh | 28 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 112.00 |
| Mohamed Rishwancaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Pavandeep Singh 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Pavandeep Singh | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 136.36 |
| Ismail Alibowled · Pavandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pavandeep Singh | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Shafraz Jaleelcaught · Prashant Madhukar · Pavandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Prashant Madhukar · b Pavandeep Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ashan Yapastumped · Nazmus Sakib · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Nazmus Sakib · b Virandeep Singh | 16 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 64.00 |
| Sheraz Iqbalcaught · Prashant Madhukar · Vijay Unni 1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Prashant Madhukar · b Vijay Unni | 47 | 36 | 1 | 4 | 130.56 |
|---|
| Umar Adamlbw · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Syed Aziz | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Hassan Rasheednot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Ibrahim Rizanbowled · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vijay Unni | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Harsha Amarasingherun out · Nazmus Sakib, Vijay Unni · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nazmus Sakib, Vijay Unni | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ameel Mauroofnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Akram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Pavandeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Prashant Madhukar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Mohamed Rishwan, 4.0) · 2-40 (Ismail Ali, 5.3) · 3-40 (Shafraz Jaleel, 5.5) · 4-46 (Azyan Farhath, 7.5) · 5-97 (Ashan Yapa, 15.4) · 6-113 (Umar Adam, 17.4) · 7-117 (Sheraz Iqbal, 18.4) · 8-117 (Ibrahim Rizan, 18.5) · 9-118 (Harsha Amarasinghe, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 40/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 47/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 50/4 |
| 10 | 4 | 54/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 59/4 |
| 12 | 1 | 60/4 |
| 13 | 20 | 80/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 85/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 94/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 99/5 |
| 17 | 12 | 111/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 116/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 118/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 125/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.