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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
28 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 26%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 2% to 46% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 55% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alicaught · Asif Khan · D Parashar 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asif Khan · b D Parashar | 27 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 135.00 |
| Umer Imtiazcaught · D Parashar · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Junaid Siddique | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Imran Anwarcaught · Junaid Siddique · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Junaid Siddique · b Ali Naseer | 30 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 107.14 |
| Haider Buttcaught · SS Kang · Muhammad Jawadullah 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · SS Kang · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 35 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 112.90 |
| Sohail Ahmedcaught · SS Kang · Zuhaib Zubair 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SS Kang · b Zuhaib Zubair | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasircaught · Ali Naseer · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Ali Naseer · b Junaid Siddique |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Asif Khan · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Asif Khan · b Junaid Siddique | 19 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 126.67 |
|---|
| Rizwan Buttnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Umer Imtiaz, 1.0) · 2-37 (Asif Ali, 5.5) · 3-69 (Imran Anwar, 10.5) · 4-82 (Sohail Ahmed, 13.3) · 5-85 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 14.2) · 6-118 (Haider Butt, 17.5) · 7-129 (Fiaz Ahmed, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 38/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 44/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 63/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 69/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 76/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 80/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 84/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 92/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 99/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 107/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 120/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 129/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 135/7 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
