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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 58%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · Nathan Gilchrist4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Daniel Bell-Drummond · b Nathan Gilchrist | 36 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 171.43 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Jack Leaning · Matt Parkinson2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Matt Parkinson | 33 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Matt Parkinson 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Matt Parkinson | 34 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 170.00 |
| Paul Walternot out 1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 46* | 27 | 1 | 3 | 170.37 |
| not out |
| 31* |
| 19 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 163.16 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus O'Riordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-50 (Adam Rossington, 6.0) · 2-101 (Dean Elgar, 11.2) · 3-116 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 13.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 64/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 79/1 |
| 10 | 13 | 92/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 100/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 105/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 112/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 120/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 133/3 |
| 17 | 17 | 150/3 |
| 18 | 10 | 160/3 |
| 19 | 11 | 171/3 |
| 20 | 16 | 187/3 |
Robin Das: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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