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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Namibia) · 2026 · Women
28 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 30%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (Namibia: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Milesrun out · M Mwatile, Kayleen Green · M Mwatile 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Mwatile, Kayleen Green | 15 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 93.75 |
| Mariko Hillrun out · M Mwatile · M Mwatile 6 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Mwatile | 35 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Shanzeen Shahzadcaught · S Tuhadeleni · Arrasta Diergaardt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Tuhadeleni · b Arrasta Diergaardt | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| MBA Lamploughcaught · Victoria Hamunyela · M Mwatile 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Victoria Hamunyela · b M Mwatile | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Kary Chanbowled · Eveleen Kejarukua 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eveleen Kejarukua | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| M Bibinot out 3 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 26* |
| 25 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 104.00 |
| SYD Chanbowled · Eveleen Kejarukua 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eveleen Kejarukua | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Joyleen Kaurnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 11 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eveleen Kejarukua1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Victoria Hamunyela0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 3 | 0 |
| M Mwatile0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| S Tuhadeleni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Kayleen Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-38 (Natasha Miles, 5.4) · 2-47 (Shanzeen Shahzad, 7.4) · 3-80 (Mariko Hill, 12.3) · 4-83 (MBA Lamplough, 13.0) · 5-83 (Kary Chan, 13.3) · 6-83 (SYD Chan, 13.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 71/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 79/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 83/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 83/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 86/6 |
| 16 | 7 | 93/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 99/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 108/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 110/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 120/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.