Los Angeles Knight RidersversusMI New York

4 Jul 2026 · T20

Recorded result

MI New York won by 6 wickets

Los Angeles Knight Riders20.0 overs165/6 MI New York19.5 overs168/4 Knight Riders Cricket Ground, Pomona ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Los Angeles Knight Riders started on 41%; Los Angeles Knight Riders batted first.

Los Angeles Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · MI New York is the rest

Los Angeles Knight Riders's chances ranged from 3% to 79% during the match (MI New York: 22% to 97%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 16.4: JO Holder to CJ Anderson, six by CJ Anderson. MI New York up from 53% to 69%.
2nd inns 17.6: AD Russell to KA Pollard, four by KA Pollard. MI New York up from 65% to 86%.
2nd inns 19.5: C le Roux to CJ Anderson, six by CJ Anderson. MI New York up from 70% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Los Angeles Knight Riders165/6 MI New York168/4

Innings 1