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Indonesia tour of South Korea · 2026/27 · Men
5 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Korea more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Korea started on 65%; South Korea batted first.
South Korea's chances ranged from 58% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 42%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sageer Ahmadcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · Gede Wiguna 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Gede Wiguna | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Balage Dilrukshacaught · Gede Priandana · Ida Bagus Nara 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Gede Priandana · b Ida Bagus Nara | 44 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 141.94 |
| Daham Madampagelbw · Ida Bagus Nara 0 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Ida Bagus Nara | 23 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 109.52 |
| Alam Nakashcaught and bowled · Gede Priandana 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Gede Priandana | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Aamir Lalbowled · Ida Bagus Nara 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ida Bagus Nara | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| lbw · b Kavin Chaddha |
| 7 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 70.00 |
| Sameera Maduranganot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 28* | 21 | 4 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Sameera Pitabeddaracaught · Rohit Sharma · Gede Wiguna 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Gede Wiguna | 22 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 220.00 |
|---|
| Chamith Ranasinghenot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 6 | 1 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 14 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Wiguna0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 7 | 0 |
| Ida Bagus Nara0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Gede Priandana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dewa Wiswi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Gede Arta0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavin Chaddha0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Dhanesh Shetty0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-11 (Sageer Ahmad, 2.3) · 2-65 (Daham Madampage, 8.5) · 3-72 (Alam Nakash, 9.5) · 4-96 (Balage Dilruksha, 12.0) · 5-103 (Aamir Lal, 13.2) · 6-116 (Areeb Khalid, 15.2) · 7-151 (Sameera Pitabeddara, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 60/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 76/3 |
| 11 | 12 | 88/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 96/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 102/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 103/5 |
| 15 | 13 | 116/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 120/6 |
| 17 | 10 | 130/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 143/6 |
| 19 | 12 | 155/7 |
| 20 | 17 | 172/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.