Islamabad UnitedversusPeshawar Zalmi

14 Apr 2025 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Islamabad United won by 102 runs

Islamabad United20.0 overs243/5 Peshawar Zalmi18.2 overs141/10 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Islamabad United started on 51%; Islamabad United batted first.

Islamabad United’s chance of winning (%) · Peshawar Zalmi is the rest

Islamabad United's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Peshawar Zalmi: 0% to 58%).

Biggest swings

1.2: Mohammad Ali to Sahibzada Farhan, AGS Gous out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 47% to 57%.
2.5: AS Joseph to C Munro, 1 run to C Munro. Islamabad United up from 49% to 54%.
3.3: GF Linde to Sahibzada Farhan, six by Sahibzada Farhan. Islamabad United up from 56% to 61%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Islamabad United243/5 Peshawar Zalmi141/10

Innings 1