Continental Cup · 2026 · Men

BelgiumversusSwitzerland

20 Jun 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Belgium won by 16 runs

Belgium20.0 overs184/8 Switzerland20.0 overs168/7 Moara Vlasiei Cricket Ground, Ilfov County ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Too close to call

52%Belgium48%Switzerland

Why

In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Belgium won 1 and Switzerland won 0
On results in T20 internationals so far, Switzerland rate stronger than Belgium (1,525 vs 1,503 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Belgium started on 50%; Belgium batted first.

Belgium’s chance of winning (%) · Switzerland is the rest

Belgium's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (Switzerland: 0% to 67%).

Biggest swings

0.1: Ashwin Vinod to A Raza, A Raza out. Switzerland up from 50% to 65%.
5.6: Raihan Stanikzai to Sheraz Sheikh, Sheraz Sheikh out. Switzerland up from 51% to 67%.
9.5: H Deshan to Omid Mailk Khel, Omid Mailk Khel out. Switzerland up from 48% to 63%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Belgium184/8 Switzerland168/7

Innings 1

Belgium

184/820.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Belgium batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
A Razacaught · Naim Stanikzai · Ashwin Vinod 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Naim Stanikzai · b Ashwin Vinod	0	1	0	0	0.00
Hadisullah Tarakhelcaught · Jamal Stanikzai · Ashwin Vinod 2 fours · 2 sixes	caught · Jamal Stanikzai · b Ashwin Vinod	23	11	2	2	209.09
Walid Sahibzadacaught · Naim Stanikzai · Ashwin Vinod 1 fours · 2 sixes	caught · Naim Stanikzai · b Ashwin Vinod	17	13	1	2	130.77
Omid Mailk Khelcaught and bowled · H Deshan 4 fours · 0 sixes	caught and bowled · b H Deshan	21	16	4	0	131.25
Sheraz Sheikhbowled · Raihan Stanikzai 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Raihan Stanikzai	4	4	1	0	100.00

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Ashwin Vinod0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	37	3	9.25	1
Raihan Stanikzai0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	35	1	8.75	2
M Stanikzai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	18	2	6.00	1
H Deshan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	14	1	7.00	1
Musa Khan Ahmadzai0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	38	1	9.50	2
Jamal Stanikzai1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	1	15	0	7.50	1
I Stewart0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	0	22	0	22.00	3

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	9	9/1
2	5	14/1
3	7	21/2
4	13	34/2
5	18	52/3
6	5	57/4
7	3	60/4
8	13	73/4
9	10	83/4
10	5	88/5
11	7	95/5
12	9	104/5
13	5	109/5
14	4	113/5
15	9	122/5
16	15	137/5
17	13	150/6
18	22	172/6
19	11	183/6
20	1	184/8

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