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Bulgaria Women tour of Greece · 2024/25 · Women
26 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Greece more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bulgaria started on 31%; Bulgaria batted first.
Bulgaria's chances ranged from 0% to 32% during the match (Greece: 68% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Paskovabowled · M Syrioti 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Syrioti | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Katrin Srandevacaught · A Savvani · E Kallous 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Savvani · b E Kallous | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| M Zdravkovabowled · M Syrioti 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Syrioti | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| N Tolevalbw · T Skordili 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b T Skordili | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| V Nikolovastumped · A Argyropoulou · E Kallous 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · A Argyropoulou · b E Kallous | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Stanislava Sarandeva |
| caught · A Argyropoulou · b T Skordili |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| B Shotorovacaught · M Syrioti · M Vervitsioti 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Syrioti · b M Vervitsioti | 6 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| D Ruynekovacaught · A Paramythioti · S Georgota 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Paramythioti · b S Georgota | 13 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 76.47 |
|---|
| I Stoilvarun out · M Syrioti · DS Vlachopoulou 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Syrioti | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Gabriela Ilarionovacaught · A Argyropoulou · S Georgota 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Argyropoulou · b S Georgota | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Galabovanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 24 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Syrioti0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2.00 | 4 | 0 |
| A Savvani0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
| T Skordili0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| E Kallous0 maidens · 5 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 5 | 2 |
| M Polimeri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Georgota1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1.67 | 4 | 0 |
| M Vervitsioti0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 7 | 1 |
| A Makri1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| DS Vlachopoulou0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (K Paskova, 2.3) · 2-5 (M Zdravkova, 2.4) · 3-10 (N Toleva, 4.3) · 4-14 (Katrin Srandeva, 5.3) · 5-17 (Stanislava Sarandeva, 6.1) · 6-20 (V Nikolova, 7.1) · 7-47 (B Shotorova, 12.2) · 8-51 (D Ruynekova, 13.2) · 9-51 (Gabriela Ilarionova, 13.3) · 10-55 (I Stoilva, 15.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 5/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 10/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 14/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 17/4 |
| 7 | 3 | 20/5 |
| 8 | 10 | 30/6 |
| 9 | 8 | 38/6 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/6 |
| 11 | 6 | 46/6 |
| 12 | 0 | 46/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 51/7 |
| 14 | 3 | 54/9 |
| 15 | 0 | 54/9 |
| 16 | 1 | 55/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.