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Czech Republic Women tour of Estonia · 2025 · Women
6 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Estonia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Estonia started on 64%; Estonia batted first.
Estonia's chances ranged from 65% to 100% during the match (Czech Republic: 0% to 35%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Madanayakelbw · T Kolcunova 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b T Kolcunova | 21 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 48.84 |
| A Vessikcaught · K Tesarikova · E Kuncova 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Tesarikova · b E Kuncova | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Ragne Hallikcaught · T Kolcunova · S Kolcunova 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Kolcunova · b S Kolcunova | 32 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 64.00 |
| C Lokugerun out · J Souckova, M Trejbalova · E Kuncova 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · J Souckova, M Trejbalova | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Viktoria Freycaught · K Tesarikova · J Kominkova 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Tesarikova · b J Kominkova | 11 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 55.00 |
| not out |
| 3* |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Asma Shifanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 49 · noballs: 21 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Kuncova0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 6 | 0 |
| S Kolcunova0 maidens · 13 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 13 | 3 |
| T Kolcunova0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 7 | 1 |
| E Konasova0 maidens · 4 wides · 4 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 4 | 4 |
| J Kominkova0 maidens · 7 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 7 | 3 |
| J Souckova0 maidens · 8 wides · 5 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 8 | 5 |
| K Kisova0 maidens · 4 wides · 5 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 4 | 5 |
1-15 (A Vessik, 2.1) · 2-98 (G Madanayake, 10.2) · 3-115 (C Lokuge, 13.2) · 4-133 (Ragne Hallik, 16.0) · 5-147 (Viktoria Frey, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 17 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 60/1 |
| 8 | 19 | 79/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 83/1 |
| 10 | 15 | 98/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 101/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 109/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 113/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 117/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 133/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 138/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 144/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 149/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 153/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.