Lucknow Super GiantsversusPunjab Kings

1 Apr 2025 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Punjab Kings won by 8 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs171/7 Punjab Kings16.2 overs177/2 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 55%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Punjab Kings is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Punjab Kings: 40% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.4: Arshdeep Singh to MR Marsh, MR Marsh out. Punjab Kings up from 45% to 59%.
4.5: GJ Maxwell to RR Pant, RR Pant out. Punjab Kings up from 54% to 66%.
2nd inns 2.5: DS Rathi to Priyansh Arya, Priyansh Arya out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 38% to 51%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants171/7 Punjab Kings177/2

Innings 1